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we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i think a lot of us, we're sort of victims of 2004. before 2004 we were all more convinced of the challenger incumbent rule. that somehow challengers always got the undecided and then a tie goes to the challenger. then you're happened when bush won frankly as many of the undecided as he did. then you'd have to go back to '76 the last time the person with momentum lost at the end. lost the popular vote. that was ford. ford had the momentum but carter won in the end. even gore, he had the last-second momentum. he did win the popular vote. having the momentum has it in the
we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i...
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he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton to pennsylvania, to philadelphia, tomorrow, but they're not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> well, he was obama's great explainer. he was like the obama whisperer at the democratic convention in charlotte. he's been a campaigner. and he's been a good friend and increasingly somebody that the president relies on. if the president wins re-election, i'm convinced bill clinton's next job will be to help the president sell a budget deal to democrats who may not want to go along. that's almost a tougher job than getting the president re-elected. >> are you worried about the voter suppression that is taking place in ohio? it seems to be much more intense in ohio. much more organized, county to county, it looks like they have really done a job. the numbers are down. for instanc
he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton to pennsylvania, to philadelphia, tomorrow, but they're not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> well, he was obama's great explainer. he was like the obama whisperer at the democratic convention in charlotte....
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if you look at ohio, if you look at wisconsin, if you look at nevada, if you look at iowa, the president has been consist eventually in the lead there. and romney basically has to run the table to even have a shot. >> but the republican argument, ari, which was the john kerry argument, which has always been the argument in these situations, is when the incumbent polls below 50, the incumbent is in danger no matter what the other number is. so if the incumbent is at 48, the challenger is at 46, the chal enner is probably in a better position, most of the time. however, we're making new mathematical history in these campaigns all the time. and you can see that argument, because it's an old argument. it's been around a while. it didn't work for john kerry and it's hard to say what's going to happen now. >> yeah. i spent over a year working seven days a week for john kerry so i'm familiar with that argument, i remember that argument. i think the critical question then as now is whether the challenger is viewed to be credible by election day. if you look at polling of a generic republican ver
if you look at ohio, if you look at wisconsin, if you look at nevada, if you look at iowa, the president has been consist eventually in the lead there. and romney basically has to run the table to even have a shot. >> but the republican argument, ari, which was the john kerry argument, which has always been the argument in these situations, is when the incumbent polls below 50, the incumbent is in danger no matter what the other number is. so if the incumbent is at 48, the challenger is...
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nevada elects its first african-american congressman this year. america gets our first openly gay united states senator. america gets our first-ever asian american woman senator from hawaii. her seat in the house, i should note, gets filled by this woman, a democratic iraq war veteran. time going to tell you right now that her name is tulsy gabboard, because she is on the fast track to being very famous some day. speaking of iraq war veterans, tammy duckworth, veteran helicopter pilot, lost both her legs in congress, she is going to congress and sending home the opponent who mocked her for her war record, joe walsh. california relaxed its three strikes you're out law and rejected a law to cripple the power of unions. criminal legalization of marijuana was approved in washington and montana. sherrod brown and jon tester both won, held on to their seats. democrats won a senate seat in north dakota, of all places, a seat that nobody thought they could win. all of these states that had this hugely aggressive total republican takeover from the 2010 ele
nevada elects its first african-american congressman this year. america gets our first openly gay united states senator. america gets our first-ever asian american woman senator from hawaii. her seat in the house, i should note, gets filled by this woman, a democratic iraq war veteran. time going to tell you right now that her name is tulsy gabboard, because she is on the fast track to being very famous some day. speaking of iraq war veterans, tammy duckworth, veteran helicopter pilot, lost...
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you look at states like nevada where the white vote is smaller. the other side can't win when the numbers are like that. 14%. excuse me and the president getting 75%. if the democrats keep getting this the darker the area the higher the latino population. it is almost game over. in florida last night we are still waiting to get the numbers. if you look at the state of texas. if republicans don't solve this problem. we might be talking about texas as a blue state. >> it is amazing looking at the maps. take a look at this. doomed beyond all hope of redemption. dark thoughts. under the headline. we mourn the loss of our country. today i wear black the day america died. from the billionaire who shall go unnamed -- we are not a democra democracy. so we talked last night, is there a sense that republicans are ready to change their approach or are they looking for a way to package the positions that they have already got? >> this is not a matter of changing your positions on a couple of issues. the philosophies that america holds is the reason that peopl
you look at states like nevada where the white vote is smaller. the other side can't win when the numbers are like that. 14%. excuse me and the president getting 75%. if the democrats keep getting this the darker the area the higher the latino population. it is almost game over. in florida last night we are still waiting to get the numbers. if you look at the state of texas. if republicans don't solve this problem. we might be talking about texas as a blue state. >> it is amazing looking...
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least two of those three, probably three of those three so when we go westward to iowa, wisconsin, nevada, colorado, for it to be a relevant, plausible path for him to get to 270 electoral votes. i still think ohio, virginia and without florida, ohio and virginia probably don't matter. >> let's hope we're not bogged down in electoral challenges in florida and ohio with all the lines. >> a clean vote is what we want where everyone who wants to vote is able to vote. the most important thing. i also think a clean result, in that it's very clear one side or the other. you might not like the result, but it's clear more people voted and more electoral votes went to one of the two candidates. i think that's probably a good thing for whether you're a partisan on the left or right. >> don't forget, house races, senate races, governor races, ballot initiatives, a lot to vote for. take your time and vote. that does it for us on this edition on election day on andrea mitt he chel reports. next stephanie cutter and chris van hollen and my xlej subpoena here next. make sure you vote. we'll be here all
least two of those three, probably three of those three so when we go westward to iowa, wisconsin, nevada, colorado, for it to be a relevant, plausible path for him to get to 270 electoral votes. i still think ohio, virginia and without florida, ohio and virginia probably don't matter. >> let's hope we're not bogged down in electoral challenges in florida and ohio with all the lines. >> a clean vote is what we want where everyone who wants to vote is able to vote. the most important...
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the labor movement fought in every corner, arguing from virginia to nevada, from new hampshire to ohio. we had people on the ground. we had lawyers that were there. we had just in our case, 2,900 workplace coordinators. 18,000 visits and shift hours were done in two weeks. we did a million phone calls. that wasn't me doing that. those were ordinary people who earned a wage, who said that this was something that they wanted too. and i think it was important. our kids and our grandkids, ed, deserve at least the same shot in life as we had and that's what president obama's given us. >> i mean, you had boots on the ground, and it's all the unions. it's a plethora of them, teamsters, cwa, all of them, amalgamated, they all worked. i mean, wisconsin, michigan, ohio, wenls. can we say that labor delivered president obama a second term? >> i think labor absolutely delivered president obama a second term, with our ground game. and i've got to say, every union did the same kind of work that we're doing. i mean, you take the union that represents bus drivers, they were talking to every person who
the labor movement fought in every corner, arguing from virginia to nevada, from new hampshire to ohio. we had people on the ground. we had lawyers that were there. we had just in our case, 2,900 workplace coordinators. 18,000 visits and shift hours were done in two weeks. we did a million phone calls. that wasn't me doing that. those were ordinary people who earned a wage, who said that this was something that they wanted too. and i think it was important. our kids and our grandkids, ed,...
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i think we're going to win iowa, i think we're going to win wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> good morning. look at that, how beautiful. we are here. we are here. what are we, a day away? this is so exciting. good morning, everyone. >> he said it wasn't going to be close. and then he said it was going to be close. maybe he was talking about president clinton. >> it's monday, november 5th, the day before election day. we have with us mike barnicle, senior political analyst, mark halperin, willie's just walked in. i don't know why you're laughing. >> me? >> no, mike. >> this lighting is disturbing. i don't know who did it. i don't like it. i'm just going to say that right up front. but i'm happy this weekend -- today because this weekend there was a huge sporting event that all the world tuned to. and i can tell you i've never been more proud of the vanderbilt commodores, dudley stadium. >> no, they went on the road and did that. they went to kentucky, to co
i think we're going to win iowa, i think we're going to win wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> good morning. look at that, how beautiful. we are here. we are here. what are we, a day away? this is so exciting. good morning, everyone. >> he said it wasn't going to be close. and then he said it was going to be close. maybe he was talking about president clinton....
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and then sharon engel in nevada. harry reid should be retired watching boxing matches. >> it's political malpractice on the part of the republicans if you want to be in leadership. >> even if the margin is narrow and obama wins subject tomorrow morning has got to be in many ways, we'll have many issues to cover, but politically the fate of the republican party. >> there's no doubt about it. >> demographically, ideologically and all the rest. it's in real trouble even if the margin is narrow. >> and the big question is especially for conservative, movement conservatives are going to be asking how did we lose this race? we will be asking the question that democrats and people that write for the new yorker were asking after you lost to george w. bush twice. let's go now to elijah cummings in baltimore, maryland. how's it going, buddy? how are you feeling? >> i feel great. >> are you going to guarantee that the president will carry maryland tonight? are you willing to step out on a limb? >> by at least 25 points. by at l
and then sharon engel in nevada. harry reid should be retired watching boxing matches. >> it's political malpractice on the part of the republicans if you want to be in leadership. >> even if the margin is narrow and obama wins subject tomorrow morning has got to be in many ways, we'll have many issues to cover, but politically the fate of the republican party. >> there's no doubt about it. >> demographically, ideologically and all the rest. it's in real trouble even if...
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look at states like nevada. the white vote smaller, why? latino vote, nearly 20% of the vote in the state of nevada. the president gets 71%. can't win. you can't win. the on other side can't win. in colorado, much more of a white vote. 78%. and latinos, 14%. and the president getting 75%. let me shift walls, one more minute of your time. i want to show you this. nevada used to be a swing state in presidential politics, colorado used to be republican, and florida a swing state in presidential politics, if democrats keep getting 66%, 70% of the latino vote, watch this. the darker the area, the higher the latino population, so in navy, colorado, and new mexico, it's almost game over. in florida, still waiting for the final results. latino vote critical to the president's lead. and if the republicans don't solve this, we might be talking about texas as a blue state, anderson. >> wow. amazing to look at the maps like that. john, appreciate that. given that, how does the republican party evolve? what is next for them? someone on the extreme right
look at states like nevada. the white vote smaller, why? latino vote, nearly 20% of the vote in the state of nevada. the president gets 71%. can't win. you can't win. the on other side can't win. in colorado, much more of a white vote. 78%. and latinos, 14%. and the president getting 75%. let me shift walls, one more minute of your time. i want to show you this. nevada used to be a swing state in presidential politics, colorado used to be republican, and florida a swing state in presidential...
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nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm going to slide this little barrier. the darker the colors, the higher the latino population. nevada, colorado, new mexico, florida, you can find other places as well up into the midwest. the republicans don't solve this problem. this is a crisis for the republican party. >> it certainly is. we're going to talk more about texas in a bit because i see that orange there. what about women? i know this war on women fight, a lot of people wondered whether it would be effective, but when it actually happened -- >> in a word, yes. >> romney did not make up that gap again. >> play the exit polls. natio
nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm...
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he also took nevada. and mika, back east in pennsylvania, a state that one poll had deadlocked over the weekend, we found out it wasn't really deadlocked, was it, now? >> no. >> that was a lie! >> the romney campaign tried to make an 11th hour push there. obama was declared the winner in pennsylvania fairly early in the night. >> and the one battleground state mitt romney did win last night was north carolina, a state that the president took in 2008. and where democrats held their conventions this summer. but this morning the president's also pulling ahead. and this is very important for the white house and a lot of people would say for the way we govern over the next four years. the president's pulling ahead in the popular vote. currently leading nationwide 50%-48%. >> aside from the race for the white house, get this. republicans who had hoped to win control of the senate last night, they were hoping for it, but it was democrats who were able to flip several seats in their favor. we're going to go over
he also took nevada. and mika, back east in pennsylvania, a state that one poll had deadlocked over the weekend, we found out it wasn't really deadlocked, was it, now? >> no. >> that was a lie! >> the romney campaign tried to make an 11th hour push there. obama was declared the winner in pennsylvania fairly early in the night. >> and the one battleground state mitt romney did win last night was north carolina, a state that the president took in 2008. and where democrats...
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but what about states like michigan, nevada, pennsylvania, how much are they in play? especially since pennsylvania, president obama won that one, but he's not apparently taking for granted clinton will be campaigning there in his behalf? >> pennsylvania has a million more registered democrats than republicans. so it is a state that republicans have tried to contest in the last few presidential elections and have failed. but there's always sort of enough of an opportunity there that they end up making a last-minute push there. the other thing to remember is that when you're campaigning in western pennsylvania, you're hitting the tv markets in even iowa. so you do get a little bit of a t two-fer there as well. >> going to be a crazy busy couple of days for karen, for everyone. >>> the race for president is in a dead heat, so where do you think the candidates are spending a lot of their time other than ohio? there isn't another place they're spending their time. ohio, ohio, ohio. we'll go live. ...and in the tiniest details. ♪ and sometimes both. nature valley granola
but what about states like michigan, nevada, pennsylvania, how much are they in play? especially since pennsylvania, president obama won that one, but he's not apparently taking for granted clinton will be campaigning there in his behalf? >> pennsylvania has a million more registered democrats than republicans. so it is a state that republicans have tried to contest in the last few presidential elections and have failed. but there's always sort of enough of an opportunity there that they...
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state h 2008, but with polling race was incredibly >> out president obama took colorado.he also took nevada back poll had deadlocked over the weekend,ly deadlocked, was it >> >> the romneke an 11h there. obama was declared the winner fairly early in the ni one battleground state mitt rom north carolina a state that tk in conventions this summer. l) but this morning the president's also pulling ah important for the people would say for the president's pulling ahead in the popular . currently leading nationwide 50%-48%. >> aside from the rac white house, getin this. control for were s favor. we're going over all of those a little later. democrats now hold 51 senateblicans' 45 with north dakota stillnow, youemember -- first ol, many peoe that's great. all ri i'm hoping several because if not, you are a drunk that stumbled in off the street! >> you've been paid a lot of money to be here. money to be here watch our show and willie geist will tell you, what have i bee the white house, not that t. >> eally cares? if we can only keep john boehne >> you we did it! >> taná-ningacross the country. >>
state h 2008, but with polling race was incredibly >> out president obama took colorado.he also took nevada back poll had deadlocked over the weekend,ly deadlocked, was it >> >> the romneke an 11h there. obama was declared the winner fairly early in the ni one battleground state mitt rom north carolina a state that tk in conventions this summer. l) but this morning the president's also pulling ah important for the people would say for the president's pulling ahead in the...
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florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, iowa, new hampshire and nevada. joining me here in ohio is john avlon. he has been traveling the state aboard the cnn election express bus. i'm also joined by john king in washington, d.c. the electoral college map, how does it add up right now? >> when you talk to the two campaigns, it's as if even though it's one country, they live in parallel universes. both saying they will win tomorrow. the president is ahead in most of the key battleground states. they are down confidence in the obama campaign and don't get too much dispute out of the romney campaign that they will win the state of nevada. then they come to the midwest where you are. they are most confident in the midwest they will carry again. i know republicans watching are saying they'll prove you wrong. they're confident about the state of iowa. that would get the president to 259. takes 270 win. when you ask them about these battleground states, they say they're most confidence about ohio, where you are. the president took that game over. no republicans w
florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, iowa, new hampshire and nevada. joining me here in ohio is john avlon. he has been traveling the state aboard the cnn election express bus. i'm also joined by john king in washington, d.c. the electoral college map, how does it add up right now? >> when you talk to the two campaigns, it's as if even though it's one country, they live in parallel universes. both saying they will win tomorrow. the president is ahead in most of the key battleground...
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mitt romney will make stops in florida, ohio, and new hampshire and paul ryan will be in colorado, nevada, and iowa. >> i know what real change looks like. it's because i fought for it. it's because i delivered it. we cannot give up on it now. >> you would hope that president a bomb would live up to its promise to bring people to get it to solve problems but he has not. i will. >> latest poll shows the race is deadlocked. 49 percent of likely voters support obama and 48% support romney. it seems the polls are just like that. tens of millions of people have already cast ballots thanks to early voting. that will have an impact on any of the still undecided voters. >> we are tracking problems at the polls from now until the polls) let us know if you see any problems. visit our website at wjla.com/poll problems. an earthquake rattled new jersey a short time ago. >> jummy olabanji is live at the news desk. >> this earthquake happened just after 1:00 this morning in the town of lynwood new jersey. it is not too far away from manhattan. it is close to the epicenter of where hurricane sandy hit l
mitt romney will make stops in florida, ohio, and new hampshire and paul ryan will be in colorado, nevada, and iowa. >> i know what real change looks like. it's because i fought for it. it's because i delivered it. we cannot give up on it now. >> you would hope that president a bomb would live up to its promise to bring people to get it to solve problems but he has not. i will. >> latest poll shows the race is deadlocked. 49 percent of likely voters support obama and 48%...
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it's their nevada backup and vice versa, if one slips, they want to be able to hold up there. but i'm fascinated by also what romney's done in adding this pennsylvania on sunday. is it a sign of strength, or is it potentially a sign of weakness? is it oh, wait a minute, i'm missing -- is this sort of an on-side kick, hoping you recover it and you've still got to throw the bomb because if you pick off pennsylvania, then you don't have to worry about ohio anymore. and how much of this pennsylvania stop is about that versus a sign of strength? so to me, these candidates' schedules say a lot. the fact that he's spending one less event in ohio and deciding somehow one event in pennsylvania might make a difference, i think it says a lot about where they think ohio is. >> lawrence, if you look at the preponderance of public polls, it matches with what the obama campaign says. small but durable leads. what's the best case if you're the romney campaign from their point of view? say romney can win, what would the public polls and the obama campaign be missing? >> just an overall -- what
it's their nevada backup and vice versa, if one slips, they want to be able to hold up there. but i'm fascinated by also what romney's done in adding this pennsylvania on sunday. is it a sign of strength, or is it potentially a sign of weakness? is it oh, wait a minute, i'm missing -- is this sort of an on-side kick, hoping you recover it and you've still got to throw the bomb because if you pick off pennsylvania, then you don't have to worry about ohio anymore. and how much of this...
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nevada, and mitt romney will be closer to n roanoke this morning. more than 19 million people have voted either by mail or in person. far, democrats have an edge in votes cast in florida and ohio. appears there has been more votes andblican colorado. in a satellite center, john gonzalez. >> we have a developing story out of fredericksburg. nationwide manhunt for the who may strikece again. detectives are looking for 25- year-old laurence stewart. n withectio three bombings. brianne carter has more details the stafford police department. a multistate manhunt g on. investigators looking in virginia as well as pennsylvania ohio where the suspect is said to have family. they are looking for laurence stewart ii, the man wanted for having three different. pipe bomb different take a look at video. heavily-armed agents raided a e home believed to be will be trapped. say early tuesday through a pipe bomb into a fredericksburg phnom penh. account the detective used to rent a room there. accused of bombing two stafford and one of his was at the home former fia
nevada, and mitt romney will be closer to n roanoke this morning. more than 19 million people have voted either by mail or in person. far, democrats have an edge in votes cast in florida and ohio. appears there has been more votes andblican colorado. in a satellite center, john gonzalez. >> we have a developing story out of fredericksburg. nationwide manhunt for the who may strikece again. detectives are looking for 25- year-old laurence stewart. n withectio three bombings. brianne carter...
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no north carolina, nevada once. but they believe they can lose colorado. they can lose florida, but their firewall is wisconsin, iowa and ohio. and that if they hold two of those three, then their path to 270 is doable, and romney becomes very steep. i think when you look at it, it's about wisconsin, then peeling that off. and they've got to figure out how to win -- how to get ohio. if iowa's not there, if neither iowa nor nevada are there, then you've got to either go get new hampshire for romney, if you will, combine it with wisconsin, but you still, i think, have to grab ohio. >> wow, okay. and right now ohio is probably where the romney campaign, we mentioned earlier, they're all headed there. they're doubling down. can they regain, keep that momentum going, chuck, or even ezra at this point when you're looking at ohio and campaign strategy, what at this point given the fact that the president is sort of in the middle of this news story and catastrophe, national disaster, how do they even compete? >> at this point, it's all turnout is my view of the ra
no north carolina, nevada once. but they believe they can lose colorado. they can lose florida, but their firewall is wisconsin, iowa and ohio. and that if they hold two of those three, then their path to 270 is doable, and romney becomes very steep. i think when you look at it, it's about wisconsin, then peeling that off. and they've got to figure out how to win -- how to get ohio. if iowa's not there, if neither iowa nor nevada are there, then you've got to either go get new hampshire for...
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people say nevada, the president won nevada by 12% four years ago. this time his early voting is smaller. there is a need to win by 12%. he only needs to win by one vote. >> when you talk about you're going through the swing states, really it's the state of ohio. is that true all roads go through ohio for the romney campaign? >> yeah. it's really critical there. you look at the different scenarios you need again for mitt romney to take ohio, there are scenarios that we'll show you. he can win without ohio. but that takes everything else. that means he has to get florida. he has to get everything else basically that is leaning or tossup to make that happen. >> what i thought was interesting, we were talking about this earlier, i read an article where ana is credited on it. it's a latino vote in ohio that you never talk about. this election is so close that we are talking about latinos in ohio. and how they could potentially impact this vote. >> i say is that if we really want to get immigration done, some of us have to take it for the cause, put on co
people say nevada, the president won nevada by 12% four years ago. this time his early voting is smaller. there is a need to win by 12%. he only needs to win by one vote. >> when you talk about you're going through the swing states, really it's the state of ohio. is that true all roads go through ohio for the romney campaign? >> yeah. it's really critical there. you look at the different scenarios you need again for mitt romney to take ohio, there are scenarios that we'll show you....
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in only one of those races, in nevada, did the republican candidate prevail. rove's awful election night proved that you can't buy momentum or create it simply by decreeing it and that there's a boundary to what bluster accomplishes. the road he zoomed down in 2012 was toward a potentially diminished place in his party. john heilemann, go ahead. do you agree? >> well, there's -- >> what? say it! >> there's just a lot to say -- >> why do you have a problem with this? >> no, there's a lot to say about karl. i think in the senate races, look. karl did not choose the candidates in the senate races across the country. the outside groups that went into these congressional races, you're kind of stuck with who you've got. you didn't pick todd akin, richard mourdock, he didn't run the campaign of george allen in virginia. he's an independent expenditure. on some level those campaigns, you know, he could go in and try to provide air support, but you're not the strategist for those campaigns. you don't pick the candidate. the presidential race, there's no question this p
in only one of those races, in nevada, did the republican candidate prevail. rove's awful election night proved that you can't buy momentum or create it simply by decreeing it and that there's a boundary to what bluster accomplishes. the road he zoomed down in 2012 was toward a potentially diminished place in his party. john heilemann, go ahead. do you agree? >> well, there's -- >> what? say it! >> there's just a lot to say -- >> why do you have a problem with this?...
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places like nevada a little bit in northern virginia, florida. i think one of the big stories when this is all over is going to be that demographic story, how much this country's changed in the last four years. and if romney loses, i think a big debate in the republican party is going to be over how they win the white house again, given their -- up until now anyway, their troubles with the hispanic community. i think romney's numbers among hispanics and other minorities are going to be a big story after election day. >> if romney loses, they will look at the recriminations -- >> if he loses. >> what would be the debate in the democratic party if the president of the united states were to lose? >> when either side loses, liberals say the democrat wasn't liberal enough. conservatives always say he wasn't conservative enough. i think a lot of democrats would say, one, that obama missed his opportunity in 2009, wasn't aggressive enough on the economy, shouldn't have pursued health care. i don't know if that's the correct analysis. but a lot of people
places like nevada a little bit in northern virginia, florida. i think one of the big stories when this is all over is going to be that demographic story, how much this country's changed in the last four years. and if romney loses, i think a big debate in the republican party is going to be over how they win the white house again, given their -- up until now anyway, their troubles with the hispanic community. i think romney's numbers among hispanics and other minorities are going to be a big...
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in a couple of the latest polls, usa today has president up by seven points in nevada, broadened his lead quite a bit. in las vegas, review journal, which endorsed governor romney, has the president up by four points in this state. it is all down now to what happens on election day. and both campaigns now fighting for every last vote. >> i'm ted rowlands in milwaukee, wisconsin, where republicans on the ground in this state know they have the work cut out for them. polling shows the president is up in this state, significantly as much as 8% in one poll. republicans say they can make that ground up and the reason is they have a re strong ground game here in wisconsin as a result of the gubernatorial recall election of governor scott walker earlier this year. they say they're in place to make a difference in terms of getting out the vote. they're confident they can do it tomorrow. democrats are not taking any chances here. they are rewarding any volunteer this comes to help canvas and get out the vote from neighboring illinois, where they ticket to the obama party on tuesday night in c
in a couple of the latest polls, usa today has president up by seven points in nevada, broadened his lead quite a bit. in las vegas, review journal, which endorsed governor romney, has the president up by four points in this state. it is all down now to what happens on election day. and both campaigns now fighting for every last vote. >> i'm ted rowlands in milwaukee, wisconsin, where republicans on the ground in this state know they have the work cut out for them. polling shows the...
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nevada seems to be leaning democratic. if the president got that, iowa, and wisconsin it would put him at 259. now we get into the dicey area. obama campaign says it's confident it might win them all. say for the sake of argument, and the obama campaign says if he have a weak link it's florida. romney campaign says it can win florida. virginia another one to watch closely. suburbs are key. let's for the sake of argument say romney can eke out a narrow victory victory. 259, 248. what's left on the map? colorado. this one obama campaign says early voting leaves them confident. for the sake of argument give that to governor romney. 259, 257. tiny new hampshire and ohio would decide the election. it wouldn't matter who won this one. who won the state of new hampshire you need ohio and its 18 electoral votes. in this election day and night we'll be watching the bellwether state of ohio. it's been right since 1964. whoever gets that one tends to win the white house. >> cnn covering the election all day long. watch our special co
nevada seems to be leaning democratic. if the president got that, iowa, and wisconsin it would put him at 259. now we get into the dicey area. obama campaign says it's confident it might win them all. say for the sake of argument, and the obama campaign says if he have a weak link it's florida. romney campaign says it can win florida. virginia another one to watch closely. suburbs are key. let's for the sake of argument say romney can eke out a narrow victory victory. 259, 248. what's left on...
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let's say potentially that romney gets nevada. and that romney gets wisconsin. right? look at that 273. that would be how mitt romney would do it. again, it could happen. it could not happen. i mean when you look at the polls. the polls are leaning toward the president at this poix. but those are still toss-up states. there's another way to do it, too. what if this reliably blue state is not blue anymore but turns red. you know mitt romney is spending part of today in pittsburgh. he'll have, you know, access to the tv markets of eastern person -- western pennsylvania and eastern ohio. what if that turned red? that would put romney over the top, as well. >> those are two potential hypothetical ways to the presidency without ohio for mitt romney. >> fascinating. we've been really focused on ohio. it is doable without ohio, i'm sure that the romney campaign has been crunching that very path. >> oh, yes. >> christine, thank you. still ahead this morning on "starting point." today's election will not only decide who's going to be president of the united states for the next
let's say potentially that romney gets nevada. and that romney gets wisconsin. right? look at that 273. that would be how mitt romney would do it. again, it could happen. it could not happen. i mean when you look at the polls. the polls are leaning toward the president at this poix. but those are still toss-up states. there's another way to do it, too. what if this reliably blue state is not blue anymore but turns red. you know mitt romney is spending part of today in pittsburgh. he'll have,...
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was when you start doing the math, almost impossible for romney to hit that 270 mark once, you know, nevada went obama and then missouri and then it was the final projection because of ohio, right? >> because of ohio. missouri went for governor romney. as you watched early on, you knew coming in that governor romney had a harder path to 270. you knew he needed this. we haven't called that yet. the president is leading now. it is blue on this map because that is the vote total. you knew he needed this, he needed virginia and ohio and somewhere else. as we watched the vote results come in, we could start here in ohio, a point early on, if you look at this, look at the map, you say look at all that red, the republican had to win. but you look up here and you asked me earlier about surprises, one of the surprises was it came in, where it came into play, was the obama campaign did exactly what it said it would do. without a primary challenge, it spent months and millions saying let's find all these african-american voters in cuyahoga county, key place in cleveland, have their names, their contac
was when you start doing the math, almost impossible for romney to hit that 270 mark once, you know, nevada went obama and then missouri and then it was the final projection because of ohio, right? >> because of ohio. missouri went for governor romney. as you watched early on, you knew coming in that governor romney had a harder path to 270. you knew he needed this. we haven't called that yet. the president is leading now. it is blue on this map because that is the vote total. you knew he...